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5 March 2008 - 03:21 UTC

Texas caucus - The view from one precinct in Austin

by Jack Grant

Caucusing in Austin, Texas

“I belong to no organized party. I am a Democrat.”
   -Will Rogers

That disorganization was certainly evident tonight in my precinct Democratic Party caucus. The photo above shows the most organized part of the evening, when people filed into the combination cafeteria/gym. There were questions about party rules regarding whether voters had to remain after signing in for their preferred candidate, and the Obama volunteers were loudly insisting their supporters remain so they could dominate the debate because the Clinton volunteers were supposedly going to challenge the vote count for delegates to the county convention.

It has been reported that the Clinton campaign was behind the curve in organizing for the caucuses in Texas, and that was evident in the lower numbers of Clinton volunteers than Obama volunteers, well out of proportion to the ratio of supporters of each candidate at the caucus. Unfortunately, the Obama volunteers were rather obnoxious, and the ill manners were not limited to the young cohort.

Eventually, after much commotion in setting up tables so that the disabled and those who had small children could have a shorter line to wait in before signing in their preference, a quasi-organization arose out of the confusion, and the registration of the caucus proceeded with reasonable smoothness. Although I have been hard on the Democratic Party organizers of the caucus, some acknowledgment must be made that at least ten times as many voters came to the caucus this year as compared to four years ago. Still, some better planning would have reduced the confusion.

Overall, it was an interesting experience, reminding me of how much I hate the inside maneuvering that is inherent in party politics.

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4 March 2008 - 16:53 UTC

Texas primary - A personal view from Austin

by Jack Grant

Texas, a whole other country, that’s a slogan used to promote tourism a few years back, and there is more truth to it than most people realize. I live in Austin, which although it is the capital of the state does not really reflect the culture of the state as a whole. The main campus of the University of Texas is located in Austin, and both the students and the professors have a huge impact on the character of the city. Austin is much more liberal than the rest of the state, but that liberalism is tempered by a conservative streak that would seem contradictory but somehow makes sense here. The local support of Ron Paul is a result of this seeming dichotomy. There have been large signs, both printed and handmade, promoting Paul for President posted around town for months, even before the race truly began. Some of the posters have slogans that sound much like the ones we are now hearing from supporters of Barak Obama, with claims that Paul inspires hope.

In this strange political cycle, Texas is in the position of king-maker for the Democratic Party nomination, and it also may lock-up the nomination for John McCain on the Republican side. Ordinarily, Texas came too late to play any kind of role in the nominating process, and in the past few cycles has been considered a Republican stronghold in the general election, so the state tends to get ignored in campaigns beyond a potential source of donations. Not this year, with a nationally broadcast debate between the two Democratic contenders along with many public events, including a large, open air gathering of supporters of Barak Obama that closed down the center of Austin for an entire day.

Last night Senator Hillary Clinton held a “town hall” meeting at the Austin Convention Center followed by a campaign rally in the Berger Center, where many area high schools hold their graduation ceremonies along with using it for various indoor sports and other activities. I had the opportunity to attend the rally and hear Senator Clinton speak. It was very enlightening for me, because I found her a much more effective speaker than I expected, the short sound-bites typically included in the news shows do not convey the emotion that she obviously feels regarding public service. Despite my skepticism, and despite the widely held cynical view of her, she comes across as very genuine in what she wants to accomplish in terms of using government to help the less fortunate.

Hillary Clinton addresses supporters      Hillary and Chelsea Clinton in Austin, TX

As the events of the last 8 years have illustrated, my mistrust of the Republican Party in preserving the rights of individuals against the powerful, such as corporations or even the government itself, was very well founded. The intolerance and religious zealotry endemic in the Republican Party has also disturbed me; the embracing of the endorsement of John Hagee by John McCain is a good example of how the party includes such tendencies. I tend to vote Democratic not because I have overwhelming support for the entirety of their platform, but because I feel they are less damaging than the Republicans. This year, my choice for whom to vote in the Texas Democratic primary has been difficult, because I do not like the appearance of political dynasty that would come from a victory by Senator Clinton. The roll of the Presidents starting in the 1980s would read Bush – Clinton – Bush – Clinton, which I do not believe would be healthy for our system of representative democracy. However, I have serious concerns about Senator Barak Obama in terms of both experience along with the feeling that there is more rhetoric than accomplishment behind his candidacy. I believe that only after many trips around the sun does one develop the judgment necessary for an office like President of the United States.

There is strong support for Senator Obama in Austin, likely reflecting the large student population of the University of Texas. I have seen people standing on street corners nowhere near early voting locations holding Obama for President signs. On my route in to work through a sparsely populated area, parked beside the road was an ancient RV with “Obama for President” painted on the front and a cowboy-hatted man standing on the roof with a handmade sign reading simply “Obama”. The Clinton supporters seem to be more targeted, clustering with signs and enthusiasm on curbs near the early-voting polls, and sending emails explaining the caucus process as practiced as part of the “Texas two-step primary”.

In Austin, at least, it seems to truly be coming down to the wire. It will be interesting to see what happens when I attend the caucus tonight.

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12 April 2007 - 04:47 UTC

Damn…

by Jack Grant

Kurt Vonnegut has died.

His epitath is best summed up by the repeated line from Slaughterhouse Five:

So it goes.

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13 July 2006 - 21:41 UTC

Guantanamo, the Supreme Court, and the rule of law

by Jack Grant

The Wall Street Journal (posted online at OpinionJournal.com) betrays a fundamental misunderstanding of the concept of the rule of law in an editorial on the recent ruling by the Supreme Court on the applicability of part of the Geneva Conventions to the prisoners held at Guantanamo Bay by the United States.

In the editorial Osama in Genevaland (subtitled Terrorists are now getting lawful-combatant legitimacy) they write:

The Geneva Conventions of 1949 govern the treatment of lawful combatants and civilians during wartime. But now a new Pentagon memorandum concludes that Common Article 3 of the Conventions also governs the treatment of unlawful combatants: pirates, drug mafias and especially terrorists. So, five years after 9/11, the U.S. is about to give to people who ram commercial jets into buildings many of the same legal privileges and immunities as the average GI.

This hyperbole makes the unstated assumption that everyone held by the United States as an “unlawful combatant” is indeed merting of that designation, despite the fact that there has been no process put in place to establish that status for prisoners. Through what means was it decided these people are “unlawful combatants” and who made that determination? Was it fair? Was it based on evidence, or merely hearsay?

This does not even address the basic flaw in the subtitle regarding giving legitimacy to terrorists, because we have already done so in our reaction to the murders of September 11, creating an inflated “War on Terror” from our fear and anger thereby giving the terrorists their victory and elevating them from a bunch of thugs to an “enemy of the homeland.”

We claim we are fighting against uncivilized opponents, yet we are throwing away the basis of our civilization when we ignore the principle of the rule of law when dealing with those we declare are our enemy.

Is each and every person at Guantanamo a terrorist? No, the release of some of the prisoners held there show that as in every human endeavor, mistakes were made. Once it was said, “better to let 1,000 of the guilty go free than condemn one who is innocent.” If this is no longer one of our fundamental beliefs, what level of collateral damage in the form of condeming those not guilty is acceptable? Remember, though, when you make this grim calculation, with every innocent punished for no reason we create not one but many enemies.

The end of our Pledge of Allegience states that we are a nation with “liberty and justice for all.” Depriving people of their liberty is one of the most feared powers of a government, and the arbitrary use of that power has sparked more revolutions than can be easily counted. This confers a grave responsibility to use that power through a system of justice that is understandable and fair, and if we feel the principles upon which our Constiution is based are fundamental in applying to all humanity, what does it say when we choose to ignore those principles when dealing with non-citizens?

The editorial is partially redeemed by this statement:

What the world needs is a new legal framework for distinguishing between legal and illegal combatants, but instead we are now heading toward the European model where terrorism is seen as just another fact of life and not a unique evil or grave threat. In Germany, the High Court earlier this year released from custody Mounir El Motassedeq, an accomplice of 9/11 ringleader Mohamed Atta, on a technicality. Germany may be able to afford such legal exquisiteness; as the main terror target, the U.S. and its citizens cannot.

Yet the call for a new legal framework is weakened by the complaint about “legal exquisiteness” for it is precisely that attention to the law that is what makes us civilized as compared to those who say they can do whatever they want to their enemies.

Fundamentally, the rule of law is not about selectively applying the law only to the lawful; it is about applying the law to the unlawful, preventing their unlawful nature and despicable acts from degrading our society and our civilization.

If we ignore the law or only apply it when it is convenient, what exactly differentiates our system from arbitrary rule?

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1 July 2006 - 21:14 UTC

It should be noted…

by Jack Grant

…that the oath one takes upon entering the Armed Forces of the United States is to “protect and defend the Constitution of the United States,” not to “provide political cover for the President of the United States.”

Not all bravery is exhibited on the battlefield, and not all difficult choices involve death.

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6 June 2006 - 15:30 UTC

Question

by Jack Grant

Given that there are so many external dangers to the United States (which if the right-wing is to be believed includes an existential danger from Islamist terrorists that I believe has been exaggerated for political purposes), why is it that in pandering to the “Republican wing of the Republican party” the top priorities are to have Congress debate amendments aimed at limiting freedoms, namely an anti-gay-marriage amendment and an anti-flag-burning amendment?

Any rational, non-snarky answers would be greatly appreciated.

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17 November 2005 - 14:11 UTC

Another credibility problem

by Jack Grant

I had discounted these reports when I first read of them because I “considered the source” of both the accusations and the denial.

Unfortunately, I was wrong:

US used white phosphorus in Iraq

The Pentagon has confirmed that US troops used white phosphorus during last year’s offensive in the Iraqi city of Falluja.

“It was used as an incendiary weapon against enemy combatants,” spokesman Lt Col Barry Venable told the BBC - though not against civilians, he said.

The US earlier denied it had been used in Falluja at all.

Col Venable denied that the substance - which can cause burning of the flesh - constituted a banned chemical weapon.

Washington is not a signatory of an international treaty restricting the use of white phosphorus devices.

Col Venable said a statement by the US state department that white phosphorus had not been used was based on “poor information”.

The BBC’s defence correspondent Paul Wood says having to retract its denial has been a public relations disaster for the US military.

I’m not going to debate whether the use of this weapon is legal or illegal; since the US has not signed the treaty banning the weapon, then regardless of the effects of the substance on the human body it is not correct to say that we used an “illegal” weapon.

However, the use of this weapon in areas where there may be non-comabatants is not a way to make friends and influence people, and incorrectly claiming that we did not use weapons of this nature and then later saying we did does not enhance our already shaky credibility.

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11 November 2005 - 17:13 UTC

Some thoughts both personal and more general on the riots underway in France

by Jack Grant

NOTE: This was originally posted at The Moderate Voice on Tuesday, 8 November 2005, I am re-posting it here for those who have not read it.

Grenoble-2GRENOBLE, France: As an expatriate in France, I have the dubious privilege of being able to view (from inside the country) the violence while it becomes more widespread. As is typical with most events, there is a complexity underlying the immediate but facile reactions.

It might be useful to begin with the a true first-hand reaction, showing the effects the news of the violence in France has on everyday life within the country. I live in Grenoble, a medium-sized city between Geneva and Avignon, fairly close to Lyon in western France. It is a college town, along with being one of the main technology centers in France, having a major government laboratory similar to that in the US at Sandia National Labs, performing research in a number of fields including nuclear technology along with advanced semiconductor device fabrication, my area of work. In many ways it is similar to Austin, Texas, the high-tech-focused college town I lived in before moving to France.

Grenoble also suffers from the economic malaise that the entire nation of France has endured for more than a decade, with national unemployment seemingly stuck at 10% or more, with the rate among those under the age of 30 much higher.

I live in the downtown area near many cafes and bars, and frequently in the evenings I can hear the singing of the youths who have had too much to drink as they slowly make their way home.

Part of my commute involves a longer walk than I was accustomed to with my house in the US. Here, I have about a 300-yard walk from the garage where I park, a bit farther than the 3 yards in the US. This walk takes me through the city’s Garden Park to the small street leading to my apartment building. This rue, which is remarkably dark at night, is a prime walking path exiting an area where many bars and cafes are located.

Monday evening I parked my car in the garage a little after 7:30, which is after nightfall in this part of the world in early November. As I descended the stairs from the Garden Park to the rue sombre leading to my apartment, I first heard and then saw three men who looked to be in their mid-twenties. Usually, I would keep an eye on them and choose my path carefully to ensure that I do not have any interaction that exceeds my limited French. I have never truly felt unsafe but, in any city, anywhere in the world, it is always wise to remain alert.

The situation has changed.

The riots that started in Paris and have spread to other cities in France reached Grenoble on Sunday night, when 40 cars were burned. Perhaps a small number compared to the hundreds destroyed in Paris, but with an uncomfortable proportionality to the relative populations.

So, on Monday evening, the random encounter with three young men had a new air about it. As I walked down the dark street towards the door to my apartment building, I regarded the obviously drunk characters more closely than usual, and I shifted my laptop-containing backpack to a position where I could quickly sling it about to use as a weapon, if needed. Fortunately, it was not.

By the peculiar metric being used by the French police forces, the intensity of the riots has decreased as “only” a dozen cars were burnt in Grenoble on Monday night.

Yet, the situation has changed.

There are many asking “Why?” with respect to the violence, and many trying to use a false correlation to root out some causality. When the true foundations underlying the riots are discussed, if they do not match the beliefs and preferences of some, they claim that the explanation is somehow “excusing” the rioters for their criminal actions.

Seeking explanations is NOT making excuses.

If we seek out why a building collapses, are we trying to say that the architect and builder are not responsible? No. We are trying to find out the reason so we can make sure it does not happen again.

The origins of the unrest are myriad, and none are simple to describe, nor are they simple to solve.

One of the most fundamental causes was best described by Jane Galt at Asymmetrical Information in a post well-worth reading in full, despite the extensive excerpt here:

Why are French muslims rioting?

Is it because Arabs/Muslims are a roiling repository of violent, seething hatred, ever threatening to bubble over onto unsuspecting victims in their path? Because the French are so damn mean?

Let me suggest another possibility: Muslim youth are rioting in France because breaking windows and setting cars on fire is fun.
Everyone who has ever taken their .22 out to the back forty and shot up a line of old bug spray cans knows this. Seeing things break, disintegrate, or explode, at absolutely no personal risk to yourself, lights up some primitive reptilian part of our brain with searing glee. I’ve often thought there would be big money for the firm that figured out how to build an adult recreation center where frustrated Americans could go to have a beer, take a sledgehammer to a used computer, and throw some glassware at the walls.

Of course, normally we don’t go around torching automobiles, because the owners of those automobiles would be angry, and we would be arrested, and our friends would look at us funny. But take a group of people who have relatively little to lose from an arrest, since they’re never going to get jobs anyway, and who are, not without reason, permanently angry at the people who own those cars, and thus have very little of the social control that comes from feeling you are in a mutual social contract that protects you as well as the car owners, and add a minor provocation . . . voila! With a peer group giving us permission to bust stuff up, I bet a substantial number of us would go on a rampage too. The riot is only the mirror image of the lynch mob.

Her concluding paragraph highlights a key point missed by those who are using their partisan glasses to view the world:

But that doesn’t really answer the question that everyone is asking: is the peer group ratifying it because they’re Muslim/North African, or because they’re a member of a segregated underclass? I vote number two. Poor, uneducated, ghettoized people everywhere display a tendency to riot, because they have little to lose, and because they feel little part of the reciprocating bonds that hold us together in a web of mutual exchange, rather than violence. There’s no special magic to culture that I can see, which is why Irish Americans rioted in 1863 and not 1963.

What Galt writes is almost identical to a discussion I had with one of my French colleagues at work today. He and I frequently engage in political discussions; it is the national hobby in France, and it gives me a lot of practice expressing non-technical, abstract ideas in French. Despite being a native (meaning white) Frenchman who loves his country, he freely said that discrimination was practiced by the society in France against those who although born in France were not necessarily regarded as French, nor did they have an even shot at a job. I pointed to empirical evidence of this problem (which includes living in the “wrong” neighborhood) in a post at my weblog, Random Fate, that was noted in The Christian Science Monitor:

“Working class suburbs have become ethnic ghettos,” says Marc Cheb Sun, who edits “Respect,” a magazine aimed mostly at young black and North African readers. “That is the origin of the problem.”

And it is not easy for even ambitious young people to break out if they come from a district with a bad reputation, as Jean-Francois Amadieu, a university professor who founded the “Discrimination Observatory” discovered in experiments over the past year.

He sent out fictitious applications for sales jobs, allegedly coming from six different sorts of applicant, ranging from a white male to a woman of North African origins, all with the same résumé.

Applicants writing from addresses known to be in “difficult” areas received half as many invitations to an interview as those from less notorious districts. The “North African” male candidate received five times fewer invitations than his white counterpart, says Prof. Amadieu.

At the same time, complains Michèle Lereste, who runs the “Green Light” social-work agency in Villetaneuse, just North of Paris, where the projects are almost entirely inhabited by immigrant-descended families, government funding cuts have closed a number of job-training institutes, “and we are finding it harder and harder to get employers to take apprentices from our district.”

What is the risk of a false correlation creating a link between Islam and the violence?

In the first place, if a group that already perceives it is being treated unfairly (regardless of the truth or falsity of that perception) is also told that their religion is one of hatred and death, is this really a way to avoid our enemies who already use radical Islam as a tool to achieve their goals gaining even more recruits? A post at Incite is very insightful on this point:

The real effects of the French riots will become apparent later on, and they will have less to do with the actions of the French State than with the actions of the international Islamic terrorist threat. The Islamic terrorists have long seen and understood the potential of using Europe’s Muslim population to further their agenda, and have long had a significant presence in France. The scale and coverage of these riots, however, has probably surprised even them, and will encourage them to focus more of their efforts and resources on the promising European front.

After all, if you were an Islamic terrorist, which would you prefer if given the option:

a) to fight in Iraq, living in tough, uncomfortable conditions, where your likely fate is to be ratted out by fellow Muslims and hunted down and killed by American troops, or…

b) to agitate and lay the groundwork for insurrection in France, living on a comfortable government dole and enjoying all the perks and entertainments of modern life?

The riots that are occurring now are mostly a result of disaffected, bored, disillusioned, uneducated male youths, i.e., “scum,” to use Sarkozy’s term, doing what disaffected, bored, disillusioned, uneducated male youths usually do when given the excuse - cause trouble. But with the interest and ambitions of the international Islamic terrorist movement now attuned to France, the next time the Muslims of France riot you can be certain that it will be about much more than that.

It is not about Islam unless we force it to be.

I cannot overstate how important it is that we understand this point, because you cannot win a war unless you understand the nature of the conflict. The history of the United States Civil War is an illustration of this principle, for the North, despite all of its advantages in resources, could have been described as losing until it gained a set of commanders including Ulysses Grant and Tecumseh Sherman who understood that the conflict was more than set-piece battles in the Napoleonic style but was the first total war that involved the need for defeating the morale of the population as a whole and not just that of the opposing commanders.

Before you assign my thesis to that of “moonbattery” I suggest you read the commentary posted today at Opinion Journal, the online editoral pages of the definitively non-left-wing publication The Wall Street Journal.

We are not in a holy war unless we make it one.

If you do not understand the nature of the fire you are fighting, you could use the wrong method. Water on an electrical fire makes the situation worse, not better.

Al Qaeda uses fundamentalist Islam as a tool. We do not ascribe the bad acts of violent Christian groups (and they DO exist, one of the creeds of the KKK involves creating a white, Christian nation) as being characteristic of Christianity as a whole. The so-called “logic” of using correlation to “prove” some kind of causality is akin to that used to justify racism, as I pointed out at Random Fate:

Correlation, despite our desire for an orderly and understandable universe, does not prove causality.

In this particular case, it is similar to the violence in the late 1960s and early 70s in the US, where there were riots that originated in areas that were mainly inhabited by people whose skin color is commonly described as black.

Does this mean that blacks are inherently violent? The predominant view today is only a racist would say so.

However, it is apparently perfectly acceptable to say that since the riots in France are occurring in regions inhabited predominantly by Muslims (many if not most of whom are African and NOT Arab, by the way) somehow proves that Islam is inherently violent.

Yet, somehow, this thinking is acceptable, even though the logic differs not at all from the “logic” of the latter half of the 20th century used to justify all kinds of racism.

I have a theory about racism; it is a way for people to avoid the hard work of thinking.

I have a theory about hate; it is a way for people to avoid the hard work of thinking.

We should seek out the true origins of the riots, and as has been written elsewhere, I suspect we will discover they have far more in common with the origins of the riots in the United States of the later half of the 20th century than with some grand Islamist conspiracy to overthrow “the West.”

Yet even after all of these words, it does even not begin to explore the complexities underlying the historical and social context within France feeding the disaffection and the violence offered in reaction nor the paralysis in meeting the crisis that is only a more intense version of the governmental sclerosis of the last decade.

Historical - the French Revolution starting in 1789 began as riots that ultimately overthrew the ancien regime, and since that time public disorder as a legitimate method of expressing discontent has become deeply embedded in the culture of France.

Social - despite the tradition of la liberté, l’égalité, la fraternité, discrimination exists that is based not only upon race, origin, or street address, but even upon which school you attend, not solely due to the networking that occurs at the “grand colleges” as they are termed. Sadly, something similar is happening in the United States, given the large numbers of Yale and Harvard graduates occupying high office.

Volumes have been and continue to be written on these topics, yet a deep understanding of them is not necessary to acknowledge that they do play a role in laying the foundation of the violence currently underway in France.

The riots in France have very complex origins, just as the grossly misnamed War on Terror that started long before September 11, 2001, even though we did not recognize it, also has complex origins. If we make decisions based upon simplistic reactions, we will likely make the mistake of fighting a fire with gasoline, much to our regret.

An addendum to what I posted at The Moderate Voice:

None of what I write is intended to give any kind of “cover” or excuse for the violence perpetrated. Instead, what I am calling for is a considered and reasoned reaction to the events, using them as an additional data point in the situation of the world as a whole, the situation in Europe, the situation of the Islamic community in Europe, and how that situation may affect the thinking of the Islamic community of the world as a whole.

Interactions, we forget them at our peril. In the modern world, seemingly disparate communities are related in ways we may not anticipate, in large part due to the technologies we in the West have introduced.

We should make the effort to fully understand ALL aspects of any situation that arises.

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8 November 2005 - 22:58 UTC

A summary regarding the riots underway in France

by Jack Grant

Here is a listing, in chronological order, of the posts on the riots in France I have written from my perspective as an expatriate in the country:

Random Fate - Fear and hate

Random Fate - Violence in France is spreading

Random Fate - More on the riots in France

Random Fate - Another view of the reaction to the riots in France

Random Fate - Q.E.D.

The Moderate Voice - Some thoughts both personal and more general on the riots underway in France

Given I live in the affected country, I may have a viewpoint that is a wee bit more informed than many you might read.

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8 November 2005 - 16:13 UTC

Q.E.D.

by Jack Grant

Proving that the radical right-wing is seeing only what they want to see, here is a blog that refers to my post “Fear and hate” as going “on and on about what the riots are and are not about—wholly irrelevant points, since the rioters chose of their own free will to behave in a subhuman, criminal manner, and therefore, they and only they are responsible for their own behavior.”

Nowhere did I try to excuse the behavior of the hooligans, yet somehow they try to link what I am saying to what the rioters are choosing and implying I am saying the perpetrators are not responsible.

Seeking explanations is NOT making excuses.

If I seek out why a building collapses, am I trying to say that the architect and builder are not responsible? No, I am trying to find out the reason so I can make sure it does not happen again.

Yet, somehow, the author at RightWingNation appears to think searching for fundamental causes is making excuses.

Was I name-calling the radical right-wing?

The post I quote from gives further evidence that the radical right-wing is seeking out connections that do not exist so they can associate the words “subhuman” and “criminal” with Islam.

Perhaps I should have tried some name-calling.

Take a moment to think, people, and stop jerking your knees.

I repeat my point, if we link the violence to Islam when it is not connected, we will take yet another step on the path to being in a true holy war.

Unfortuately, the radical right-wing does indeed need to “put the kool-aid down and back away” because the lenses they use to view the world are obscuring too much.

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